tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4058766287077382431.post3671747576924069253..comments2024-03-23T04:01:39.348-04:00Comments on Understanding Society: Large predictions in historyDan Littlehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15953897221283103880noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4058766287077382431.post-5141020761545188702013-09-30T05:42:56.354-04:002013-09-30T05:42:56.354-04:00Or it might be argued that the Russian empire stil...Or it might be argued that the Russian empire still exists, having abandoned the name it used for a brief period (USSR) and withdrawn from the perifery it controlled for some decades. The empire is now reorganizing itself under new management. There is a difference beween an empire falling and an empire changing management and taking a temporary step back.<br /><br />And in a contrafactual world: Without the fracking revolution of the US energy supply, the Russian empire in its reduced form would look much more powerfull than it does today.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4058766287077382431.post-12030363671112789102013-09-22T09:29:38.070-04:002013-09-22T09:29:38.070-04:00Randall Collins predicted the fall of the Soviet e...Randall Collins predicted the fall of the Soviet empire using a very simple geopolitical model, which he later evaluated in this useful paper:<br /><br />http://www.jstor.org/discover/10.2307/2782681?uid=3738736&uid=2129&uid=2&uid=70&uid=4&sid=21102666143817Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03764403276475125415noreply@blogger.com